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Memorial Service on Sabbath, 14 February 2015

posted Jan 23, 2015, 10:25 AM by Herbert Douglass   [ updated Jan 23, 2015, 1:06 PM ]

A Memorial Service will be held 4:00 PM on Sabbath, February 14, 2015, at Carmichael SDA Church, 4600 Winding Way, Sacramento, CA 95841

In lieu of customary remembrances, and for those desiring, contributions in the memory of Dr Herbert E. Douglass Jr. may be directed to either: Adventist Heritage Ministry, P.O. Box 1414, Battle Creek, MI  49016-1414 or:
Just As I Am Ministries, 2501 Highway 193,  Lincoln, CA 95648-9651

Herbert Edgar Douglass Jr, 87, of Lincoln, California, died Monday morning, December 15, 2014, in Roseville, California, at Sutter Roseville Medical Center. He was born May 16, 1927 in Springfield, Massachusetts, eldest of five sons of Herbert Edgar Douglass Sr and Mildred Jennie Munson.All four brothers survive: James Douglass (Joan) of E. Norwalk, Ohio, Richard Douglass (Patty) of Reche Canyon, California, Gerald Douglass (Carol) of Riverside, California, and Melvyn (Jeanette) of Houston, Texas.

He is survived by his devoted wife of 40 years, Norma Campbell-Faulkingham, step-daughter Donna Faulkingham and step-son Clifford Faulkingham. His first wife, Vivienne Trask, predeceased him; he is survived by their son Herbert Edgar Douglass Ill (Sandy}, and by their daughters: Janelle Douglass, Reatha Van Dolson (Randall}, Vivienne Douglass.

He is also survived by 10 grandchildren : Vanessa Voorhees Fuller, Vivyan Voorhees Rollolazo­ Garcia, Cadence Van Dolson Schulman (Joe}, Randall Van Dolson, Ryan Van Dolson (Oriana}, Emily Rampton Brugman (Eduardo}, Candice Douglass Carstens (Clayton), Jackellin Douglass, Britney Faulkingham, Clifford Faulkingham IV; and 12 great-grandchildren .

During his 60+ year ministry, Dr. Douglass has served as theology professor (Pacific Union College), college president (Atlantic Union College), associate publishing editor (Review and Herald) and vice-president for editorial development (Pacific Press Publishing Association) , president of a wellness facility (Weimar Institute), vice-president for philanthropy (Adventist Heritage Ministry}, and most recently as consultant for Amazing Facts Ministry. Author of over 26 books and numerous articles, he earned his doctorate in theology in 1964 (Pacific School of Religion). His last book, completed in November, is scheduled to be published by Pacific Press later in 2015.

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posted Mar 16, 2014, 4:18 PM by Thaine Carter   [ updated Mar 16, 2014, 4:21 PM ]

Red Alert #307 Home schooling

posted Sep 9, 2013, 10:04 AM by Thaine Carter

Red Alert #307            Home schoolers, again           September 11, 2013

“Remember that there will be difficult times in the last days. People will be selfish, greedy, boastful, and conceited; they will be insulting, disobedient to their parents, ungrateful, and irreligious; they will be unkind, merciless, slanderers, violent, and fierce; they will hate the good; they will be treacherous, reckless, and swollen with pride; they will love pleasure rather than God; they will hold to the outward form of our religion, but reject its real power. Keep away from such people.” 2 Timothy 3:1-5, GNB


They are at it again. A few Alerts back we focused on the Wunderlich family from Germany and how they had were seeking refuge in other countries for keeping their children in homeschooling.

To bring us current, a very similar case had been submitted to the U.S. Supreme Court. In 2010, an immigration judge granted asylum in the U.S. to the Uwe and Hannelore Romeike family who fled Germany because their children were forced to go to public schools.

The Obama administration, unhappy with the outcome, appealed on June 26 to the U.S. Sixth Circuit Court, obtaining an order that the family must return to Germany. The Obama administration has argued in court, parents essentially have no right to determine how and what their children are taught, leaving the authority to the government and (surprise!) that there is no proof that Germany specifically targets religious homeschoolers, despite statements from the German High Court to the contrary.

In its reply, the Justice Department asked the court to deny the petition for rehearing, claiming that the Romeikes were being prosecuted under generally applicable law.

The Justice Department further asserted that Germany’s open opposition to the “development of religiously or philosophically motivated ‘parallel societies’ ” is designed to create an “open, pluralistic society.”

“Teaching tolerance to children of all backgrounds helps to develop the ability to interact as a fully functioning citizen in Germany,” the brief states. “It is scarcely feasible, with those stated goals in mind, to tease from the opinion, a persecutory motive on the part of those who enforce the law.”  Wow!

“Attorney General Holder is trying to seek dismissal of this case because he believes that targeting specific groups in the name of tolerance is within the normal legitimate functions of government,” said Michael Farris, HSLDA founder and chairman. “This cannot be the ultimate position of the United States without denying the essence of our commitment to liberty. We’re trying to provide a home for this family who would otherwise go back to facing fines, jail time, and forcible removal of their children because of their religious convictions about how their children should be educated. Why Attorney General Holder thinks that it is appropriate for any country to do this to a family simply for homeschooling is beyond me.” › HomeTop Stories

To add more color, in  Sweden, authorities snatched a 7-year-old child from an airplane as the parents were moving to India so they could homeschool. Swedish courts have ordered Dominic Johansson to be permanently separated from his parents!!!


But now back to the Wunderlich family.  What got my attention were these headlines: “Police  storm homeschool class, take children by force”  “Officers brought a battering ram and were about to break the door in”

One would think that the Wunderlich's were terrorists or high-grade smugglers! But no, four children, ages 7 to 14, were forcibly taken from their Darmstadt, Germany, home by police armed with a battering ram, and their parents have been told they won’t see them again soon, all over the issue of homeschooling, according to a stunning new report from the Home School Legal Defense Association.

HSLDA, the world’s premiere advocate for homeschoolers, said the family of Dirk and Petra Wunderlich has battled for several years Germany’s World War II-era requirement that all children submit to the indoctrination programs in the nation’s public schools. “The children were taken to unknown locations,” HSLDA said. “Officials ominously promised the parents that they would not be seeing their children anytime soon.”

Farris said the U.S. Constitution is “not alone in upholding the right of parents to decide how to educate their children.”

“Germany is a party to numerous human rights treaties that recognize the right of parents to provide an education distinct from the public schools so that children can be educated according to the parents’ religious convictions,” he said.

“Germany has simply not met its obligations under these treaties or as a liberal democracy. HSLDA and I will do whatever we can to help this family regain custody of their children and ensure that they are safe from this persecution. This case demonstrates conclusively why the Romeike asylum case is so important. Families in Germany need a safe place where they can educate their children in peace.”

Germany has a long history of persecuting homeschooling families. In 1937 Adolf Hitler said: “The youth of today is ever the people of tomorrow. For this reason we have set before ourselves the task of inoculating our youth with the spirit of this community of the people at a very early age, at an age when human beings are still unperverted and therefore unspoiled. This Reich stands, and it is building itself up for the future, upon its youth. And this new Reich will give its youth to no one, but will itself take youth and give to youth its own education and its own upbringing.”

Fascinating to me when legal minds can look straight into very clearly written laws and then come up with either plausible alternatives or contradictory judgments that are so wrapped in legalese that makes “down” seem as good as “up.”  Yep, fascinating, and it seems a daily occurrence. The day is coming . . . . .

R&H, Aug. 5, 1902: "Those who place themselves under God's control, to be led and guided by Him, will CATCH THE STEADY TREND OF EVENTS ordained by Him to take place.” To see previous Red Alerts, go to Get a copy of the book Red Alert (PPPA) by calling: 1-800-400-1844.

Red Alert #306 Jim Rogers

posted Sep 9, 2013, 10:03 AM by Thaine Carter

Red Alert #306                    Jim Rogers                         September 11, 2013   

There are not many, even among educators and statesmen, who com­prehend the causes that underlie the present state of society. Those who hold the reins of government are not able to solve the problem of moral corruption, poverty, pauperism, and increasing crime. They are struggling in vain to place business operations on a more secure basis. If men would give more heed to the teaching of God's word, they would find a solution of the problems that perplex them.” Testimonies, vol. 9, 13.

I know some of my keen minds out there are wondering “why is Herb focusing on Jim Rogers, one of the richest men in the world.” Because a man who made his first billion by the time he was  37, and was wiped out twice, before he finally learned enough lessons to make his next billions—may have something to tell all of us who are happy to barely stay afloat.  Especially those who listen to their Lord who wants them to be prudent as they plan for retirement, etc.

I have seen Jim Rogers many times on TV stations that keep us posted on financial news.  He surely is an amiable, robust grandfather, never wanting in words when he is interviewed.

Recently I saw Rogers quoted: “CALAMITY--IT’S COMING, BE WORRIED, BE CAREFUL” Coming from investment brokers and other talking heads, I have heard similar headlines and just chalked it up to  the give and take of the financial markets, generally trying to sell stocks, etc. › Media

Here are some of Jim Rogers' thoughts:

                     This is the first time in recorded history all the banks are printing money at the same time. . . . This is the first time we’ve had massive debasement, and it’s going to end very badly no matter what they say.” 

                     Whether they keep printing or stop printing money globally, it is going to end badly.”

                     If money printing stops, banks are not going to be lending.  Financial markets are going to go down.  Currency markets are going to be in great turmoil.  It’s not going to be any fun.” 

                     “And if the money printing continues, you’ve got bubbles in some sectors, you have inflation, and then you have interest rates going up.  Currency markets are in turmoil, and it’s a mess because printing money is artificial.  It’s never worked.”

                     As the economy slows down, they’re going to take money wherever they can. . . . They’re going to take our bank accounts and retirement accounts.” 

                     We’ve had perilous times, and it’s going to get worse. . . It’s coming, be worried, be careful.” 

Remember, Rogers has been there and done that.  I can't ignore the fact that in 2002, Rogers said that Fed chairman Alan Greenspan's "reaction to the stock-market, dot-com bubble (collapse of the NSDAQ has caused two more bubbles to grow: a real-estate bubble and a consumer-debt bubble."  

In 2006, Rogers said he was shorting US financials, home builders and Fannie Mae. Bloomberg. November 20, 2007,That's how Roger's keeps making his fortune.

On November 4, 2010, speaking at Oxford University’s Balliol College, Rogers urged students to scrap career plans for Wall Street or the City, London's financial district, and to study agriculture and mining instead. “The power is shifting again from the financial centers to the producers of real goods. The place to be is in commodities, raw materials, natural resources." "Bernanke ‘Doesn’t Understand’ Economics, Rogers Says" Bloomberg News, 11/5/2010.

In May 2012 he remarked during an interview with Forbes Magazine that "there's going to be a huge shift in American society, American culture, in the places where one is going to get rich. The stock brokers are going to be driving taxis. The smart ones will learn to drive tractors so they can work for the smart farmers. The farmers are going to be driving Lamborghinis. I’m telling you. You should start Forbes Farming." "Jim Rogers: 'Be Very Worried' And Buy Agriculture". Retrieved October 22, 2012.

I know there are many others with great bios who say that the future is bright, etc. Something about me, however,  seems to listen to those in any field who have a great personal record, not those who are merely one bright flash in the sky, only to vanish like a passing meteor.   I am a very simple man—I trust only that which endures time, such as the self-authenticating words of Jesus and those others whose writings are more valuable and believable as the years go by.

R&H, Aug. 5, 1902: "Those who place themselves under God's control, to be led and guided by Him, will CATCH THE STEADY TREND OF EVENTS ordained by Him to take place.” To see previous Red Alerts, go to Get a copy of the book Red Alert (PPPA) by calling: 1-800-400-1844.


posted Sep 9, 2013, 10:02 AM by Thaine Carter

RED ALERT #305                  WHEN THE LIGHTS GO OUT              SEPTEMBER 9, 2013

“The coming of the Son of Man will be like what happened in the time of Noah. In the days before the flood people ate and drank, men and women married, up to the very day Noah went into the boat;  yet they did not realize what was happening until the flood came and swept them all away. That is how it will be when the Son of Man comes.” Matthew 24:37-39, GNB


From time to time, Alert readers send me their responses to what they read. I wish I had time to answer everyone—it surely shows me how deep and insightful they are.


This week I received some thoughts from an Alert reader that seem to be worth passing on to you. He writes often about national and international news—each time revealing how carefully he is discerning the unseen voices that are doing a lot behind the usual chatter in the newspapers and TV news.


I will stay close to his picture of what may be just “over the hill”--


                     Our electricity flickers out, cutting off the TV, refrigerator/freezer, stove, heat and air conditioning;

                     Batteries over time fade, cutting off the radio, phones go dead;

                     Roads increasingly become pot-hole ridden, becoming more impossible to travel on;

                     Food supplies dwindle and what is left is so expensive;

                     People lucky to have a job, any job, are having second thoughts;

                     Day-to-day business becomes virtually nonexistent;  

                     Bank machines, mutual funds, mass retailers, computers, satellites, airplanes, governments-- all recede into irrelevance;

                     Regrets mount: what we could have thought about and what we now need;

                     We now understand that any individual or a nation cannot borrow their way to prosperity.  The U.S. government is essentially bankrupt and dependent upon the Fed's printing press to keep up the appearance of national solvency.

                     We now understand that politicians have overpromised Social Security and Medicare benefits to the tune of $100 trillion—all of which is unsustainable, and thus “pie in the sky.”

                     We now understand that if you cover 30 million more people in our healthcare system, it will cost hundreds of billions more, which makes the national debt soar out of sight.

                     We understand that mega-corporations have shipped their manufacturing jobs overseas and they aren’t coming back any time soon enough. 

                      We now understand spending over $900 billion per year policing the world, fighting wars (by choice), and supporting hundreds of military bases across the globe is; unsustainable. 

Our outlook:

    Economic distress with public debt in default, entitlement trust funds in bankruptcy, mounting poverty and unemployment, trade wars, collapsing financial markets, and hyperinflation.  

    Social distress with violence fueled by class, race, or religion and abetted by armed gangs, underground militias, and mercenaries hired by walled communities.

    Political distress with institutional collapse, open tax revolts, one-party hegemony, major constitutional change, authoritarianism, and altered national borders.

    Military distress with war against terrorists and/or foreign regimes equipped with weapons of mass destruction.

    What more can I say...?

Well, that is one man's forecast as he travels 38,000 feet above the clouds, facing head winds soon to hit with “blinding force,” a storm “relentless in its fury.”


And our Lord's promise: “Let not your heart be troubled; you believe in God, believe also in Me. . . . I will come again and receive you to Myself; that where I am, there you may be also.” John 14:1, 3, NKJV.


R&H, Aug. 5, 1902: "Those who place themselves under God's control, to be led and guided by Him, will CATCH THE STEADY TREND OF EVENTS ordained by Him to take place.” To see previous Red Alerts, go to Get a copy of the book Red Alert (PPPA) by calling: 1-800-400-1844.



Red Alert #304 Training Manuals

posted Sep 5, 2013, 7:44 PM by Thaine Carter

Red Alert #304                    Training Manuals                      September 6, 2013
“There will be strange things happening to the sun, the moon, and the stars. On earth whole countries will be in despair, . . People will faint from fear as they wait for what is coming over the whole earth, . .  Then the Son of Man will appear, coming in a cloud with great power and glory. When these things begin to happen, stand up and raise your heads, because your salvation is near.” Luke 21:25-28, GNT

Like many of you, I spend a  few moments every morning scanning the news over a wide swath—trying to get a handle on what seems to be worth pursuing, especially that which focuses on anything that has to do with individual  freedoms, exceptional natural disasters, government surveillance on all Americans and anything that spells our globalism.

Do you think that I ever run out of fresh Alert topics?  Nah, but that is amazing to me!  Ten years ago, I would have to glean for several days of news for something to write about.  No more, Wow!  It seems the train is roaring down the track, ever faster, and with ever more cars—racing toward a massive Perfect Storm!

The best advice I know, while riding this train, is to “stand up and raise your heads, because your  salvation is near.”

Well, one of the headlines that caught my attention today was: “DOD (Department of Defense) Training Manual: 'Extremist' Founding Fathers 'Would Not Be Welcome In Today's Military.'”

Judicial Watch recently obtained a Department of Defense training manual which lists people who embrace “individual liberties” and honor “states' rights,” among other characteristics, as potential “extremists” who are likely to be members of “hate groups.”

Marked “for training purposes only,”  the documents, obtained through the Freedom of Information Act request submitted in April, include Power Point slides and lesson plans, among which is a January 2013 Air Force “student guide” distributed by the Defense Equal Opportunity Management Institute and simply called “Extremism.”

 Judicial Watch's FOIA request asked for “Any and all records concerning, regarding, or related to the preparation and presentation of training materials on hate groups or hate crimes distributed or used by the Air Force.”

As the group notes, “The document defines extremists as 'a person who advocates the use of force or violence; advocates supremacist causes based on race, ethnicity, religion, gender, or national origin; or otherwise engages to illegally deprive individuals or groups of their civil rights.”

The manual goes on to bar military personnel from “active participation” in such extremist organization activities as “publicly demonstrating” “rallying,” “fundraising” and “organizing,” basically denying active-duty military from exercising the rights they so ardently fight to defend.

It begins its introduction of a second entitled, “extremist ideologies,” by describing the american colonists who sought independence from British rule as  historical examples of extremism:

“In U.S. History, there are many examples of extremist ideologies and movements. The colonists who sought to free themselves from British rule and the Confederate states who sought to secede from the Northern states are just two examples,” according to the training guide. All I say is, “WOW!

“Nowadays,” the manual explains, “instead of dressing in sheets or publicly espousing hate messages, many extremists will talk of individual liberties, states' rights, and how to make the world a better place.”  That calls for another, WOW!

Judicial Watch also acknowledges that the Southern Poverty Law Center “is listed as a resource for information on hate groups and referenced several times throughout the guide.”  At the same time, the Law Center was directly labeling, as a “hate crime,” some of the principles of the Family Research Council.

In 2009, Infowars obtained the “law enforcement sensitive” contents of a Missouri Information Analysis Center (MIAC) report entitled “The Modern Militia Movement” which listed supporters of presidential candidates Ron Paul, Chuck Baldwin, and Bob Barr as potential “militia” influenced terrorists.

Also, in July 2012, Inforwars blew the lid on a Department of Homeland Security-funded study, produced by the National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terrorism at the University of Maryland, that characterized Americans who are “suspicious of centralized federal authority,” and “reverent of individual liberty” as “extreme right-wing terrorists. This surely is worth a TRIPLE WOW!

It seems to me that it can no longer be denied that military and local law enforcement crosshairs have gradually been realigned from targeting phantom terrorists overseas to targeting domestic “extremists.” The word “extremists” has become a broad, all-encompassing term that accommodates anyone generally challenging or questioning the status quo.

All this reminds us of the on-going Congressional investigations that has found the IRS targeting those whom they believe are “extremists”--those who use the language of “conservatives and Tea Party supporters.”  And now, our Defense Department suggests that our Founding Fathers, and many conservative Americans, would not be welcome in today's military.  BizPacReview

I keep thinking of those times I wanted a picture of the perfect sunset.  I wanted the clouds in the right place and the sun surrounded in marvelous saffron mixed wth lavender. Often, I would wait until everything was just right—and then it was too dark for that “perfect shot.” Every evening is like that—its hard to tell when evening shadows become “too late, too dark.”

From the letters you send, many of you are sensing those lengthening shadows and using opportunities to prepare for the Perfect Storm, when, for too many, it will be “too late, too dark.”

R&H, Aug. 5, 1902: "Those who place themselves under God's control, to be led and guided by Him, will CATCH THE STEADY TREND OF EVENTS ordained by Him to take place.” To see previous Red Alerts, go to Get a copy of the book Red Alert (PPPA) by calling: 1-800-400-1844.

Red Alert #303 How Naions Slip

posted Sep 5, 2013, 7:43 PM by Thaine Carter

Red Alert #303 How Nations Lose Their Backbone    September 4, 2013
Notwithstanding the wickedness of the antediluvian world, that age was not, as has often been supposed, an era of ignorance and barbarism. The people . . . [had] a high standard of moral and intellectual attainment. They possessed great physical and mental strength, and their . . .  religious and scientific knowledge were unrivaled. . . . . The antediluvians were without books, they had no written records; but with their great physical and mental vigor, they had strong memories, able to grasp and to retain that which was communicated to them, and in turn to transmit it unimpaired to their posterity. And for hundreds of years there were seven generations living upon the earth contemporaneously, having the opportunity of consulting together and profiting each by the knowledge and experience of all.” Patriarchs and Prophets, 82-84.  Compare Genesis 6:5,11 with Matthew 24:37-39

In these Alerts, we have frequently listened carefully to our Lord's careful comparison of earth's last days with the days before the world-wide flood of Noah's day. Perhaps the following quotation is helpful: “Come when it may, the day of God will come unawares to the ungodly. When life is going on in its unvarying round; when men are absorbed in pleasure, in business, in traffic, in money-making; when religious leaders are magnifying the world's progress and enlightenment, and the people are lulled in a false security--then, as the midnight thief steals within the unguarded dwelling, so shall sudden destruction come upon the careless and ungodly, "and they shall not escape. 1 Thess. 5:2-5.”  The Great Controversy, 38. 

Doesn't take much imagination to note that both Great Events—Noah's Flood and our day-- happened at a time when men and women were highly educated, skilled in all areas of human achievement. But the reality was and is: “false security”! 

Some ask: What lies ahead for both the United States and the broader world issues? As we have been outlining in previous Alerts, the United States, in response to unparalleled financial stress, is headed for a repudiation of its basic freedoms—chiefly, religious freedom which will be “put on hold” in the overriding appeal for “unity” in the time of crisis. 

Almost as a reflecting shadow, in the face of a world-wide crisis of an impending  Perfect Storm involving its economy, ethnic tensions, and food distribution, the world leaders will seek for a Peace Maker who promises to unite the world and solve its global tensions.

So we ask, how can a very intelligent, some say an unrivaled level of scientific ingenuity and human skills, permit themselves to be boxed-in so that long-held convictions and protections that valued sacred human freedoms so highly—suddenly vote to choose “security” above “freedom”?

I thought of a recent column that Thomas Sowell wrote. (Sowell is currently the Rose and Milton Friedman Senior Fellow on Public Policy at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University.) He recalls reading a book about the rise of the Communists to power in China, wherein, the author tried to explain why and how this had happened. Among the factors he cited were the country’s educators and that today, he sees our own educators playing a similar role in creating a mindset that undermines American
Sowell wrote that he once thought of our schools as places where a society’s knowledge and experience were passed on to the younger generation. But, about a hundred years ago, Professor John Dewey of Columbia University came up with a very different conception of education — one that saw the role of the teacher as an agent of change — someone strategically placed, with an opportunity to condition students to want a different kind of society.
But today, he sees schools across America indoctrinating students to believe in all sorts of politically correct notions. The history taught in too many of our schools is a history that emphasizes everything that has gone bad, or can be made to look bad, in America — and gives little attention to its great achievements.
Then Sowell noted that this misuse of schools to undermine one’s own society is not something confined to the United States or even to our own time. And that this is common in Western countries for educators, the media and the intelligentsia in general, to single out Western civilization for special condemnation for sins that have been common to the human race, in all parts of the world, for thousands of years.
At the same time, fictitious virtues are attributed to non-Western societies, and their worst crimes are often passed over in silence, or shrugged off by saying “Who are we to judge?”
Sowell then considered France between the two World Wars wherein the teachers’ union decided schools should replace patriotism with internationalism and pacifism. Books that told the story of the heroic defense of French soldiers against the German invaders at Verdun in 1916, despite suffering massive casualties, were replaced by books that spoke impartially about the suffering of all soldiers — both French and German — at Verdun. Then voila! Germany invaded France again in 1940, and this time the world was shocked when the French surrendered after just 6 weeks of fighting.
Then Sowell raised the question: Because many American schools today are similarly undermining our society as one unworthy of defending, how long would it take for us to surrender after a few nuclear attacks landed on American cities?
FOR US, the larger question is how robustly are our schools, from kindergarten to graduate schools and beyond, instilling in their students the rich heritages and moral goals that were laid down by the original founders of the schools now paying their salaries? Communism in China and the Soviet Union are living paradigms of their basic philosophy—taught so faithfully in their school systems. The founding principles of the United States will be muscle, sinew, and skeletal strength –as long as those principles are not compromised by those who think that this nation's Constitution is a “living” document that can be amended by popular demand.
R&H, Aug. 5, 1902: "Those who place themselves under God's control, to be led and guided by Him, will CATCH THE STEADY TREND OF EVENTS ordained by Him to take place.” To see previous Red Alerts, go to Get a copy of the book Red Alert (PPPA) by calling: 1-800-400-1844. 

Red Alert #302 Inflation

posted Sep 5, 2013, 7:43 PM by Thaine Carter

Red Alert #302                     Inflation                      September 2, 2013
“There are not many, even among educators and statesmen, who comprehend the causes that underlie the present state of society. Those who hold the reins of government are not able to solve the problem of moral corruption, poverty, pauperism, and increasing crime. They are struggling in vain to place business operations on a more secure basis. If men would give more heed to the teaching of God's word, they would find a solution of the problems that perplex them.” Testimonies. Vol. 9, 13.

I know we have discussed the inflation topic before but it continues to creep through our lives like an unwanted cancer. We sense it when we buy groceries, or fill up our gas tanks. We fight back by forgoing a vacation trip or cutting back on birthday gifts.

On one hand, the government tells us that the “consumer price index” is practically even, with very little inflation indicated. And then we scratch our heads!  Official inflation numbers appear to show little or no inflation in the developed world, yet we all seem to feel a greater impact on our wallets. WHAT'S THE PROBLEM? Why is this?

Answer: There is s huge difference between the way the government is manipulating the numbers!  I am relying on Shadowstats, an electronic NEWSLETTER service that exposes and analyzes flaws in current U.S. government economic data and reporting.‎

They produce a chart that shows the official CPI-U year on year change as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the pre-1980 official methodology for computing the CPI-U, as reported by Shadowstats. While numbers looked identical up to the early 80s they soon began to deviate substantially.

In other words, the government's Consumer Price Index (CPI) has been reconfigured to understate inflation versus common experience—and these are the reasons why:
    •    CPI no longer measures the cost of maintaining a constant standard of living.
    •    CPI no longer measures full inflation for out-of-pocket expenditure.
    •    With this misused cover, politicians forced significant under-reporting of official inflation, so as to cut annual cost-of-living adjustments to Social Security, etc.
    •    Use of the CPI to adjust retirement benefits, private income or to set investment goals impairs the ability of retirees, income earners and investors to stay ahead of inflation.
    •    Understated inflation used in estimating inflation-adjusted growth has created the illusion of recovery in reported Gross Domestic Product GDP.
Heh? It is no surprise the cost of living experienced by most of us has risen significantly above that reported by the CPI. But let's face reality: Heavily indebted governments aim to inflate away their debt and rigging the CPI seems to be a way of solving, in part, this issue. But doing it this way, takes from savers and redistributes it to borrowers. Thus we consumers are unable to generate incomes that keep up with true levels of inflation; our purchasing power falls, leading to a greater economic slowdown.
If real GDP numbers were to reflect this higher inflation number it would show that the US economy has been in recession for some time now, perhaps explaining why the unemployment number has struggled to fall for so long. That assumes the unemployment methodology hasn’t changed, which of course it has. Shadowstats estimates true unemployment in the US (pre 1994 methodology) at about 22%!
The whole point of this Alert is to relax our readers (in a way)—we are not mystified by our dwindling buying power—there are clear reasons for the stress.  And we can count on the stress, recognized or not, to get worse as the days go by. 
Hanging over the heads of most, regardless of the many self- hypnotizing games being played, is the fantasy that the bullish stock market will go on forever as our Federal Reserve continues to buy 80 billion dollars of treasury bonds--which is being lent to those who want to invest more in the stock market (or any place else).  Musical chair time, folks!
Thank you, Lord! You have been very clear as to where our lasting investments are to be made. You have urged us to be prudent regarding our earthly needs—in all of which You are helping us to make right decisions.
“So do not start worrying: ‘Where will my food come from? or my drink? or my clothes?’ (These are the things the pagans are always concerned about.) Your Father in heaven knows that you need all these things. Instead, be concerned above everything else with the Kingdom of God and with what he requires of you, and he will provide you with all these other things.” Matthew 6:31-33, GNB.

R&H, Aug. 5, 1902: "Those who place themselves under God's control, to be led and guided by Him, will CATCH THE STEADY TREND OF EVENTS ordained by Him to take place.” To see previous Red Alerts, go to Get a copy of the book Red Alert (PPPA) by calling: 1-800-400-1844.

Red Alert #301 Egypt

posted Sep 5, 2013, 7:42 PM by Thaine Carter

Red Alert #301           Egypt                August 30, 2013
“I consider that what we suffer at this present time cannot be compared at all with the glory that is going to be revealed to us. All of creation waits with eager longing for God to reveal his children. . . . Yet there was the hope that creation itself would one day be set free from its slavery to decay and would share the glorious freedom of the children of God. For we know that up to the present time all of creation groans with pain, like the pain of childbirth.” Romans 8:22, GNB
This is an unusual Alert, at least not on our usual themes. But the following are excerpts from friends in Egypt. Their names and addresses have been removed for their protection. Their main reason for writing is because the news we are getting in the United States is much different than what our news media and Washington want to report.
“Many of you are concerned about the situation in Egypt as you watch news programs.  Just be aware that the news media in the US, Europe and Al Jazeera have a very distorted view. . . . However, it is not quiet everywhere.
It is reported that our church in the southern city of 'Hasset' was burned. We do not yet know the extent of the damage. The pastor and wife were rescued by their Muslim neighbors and are now back in Cairo. . . . Other churches and schools, Coptic and Evangelistic, mostly in villages, have been burned and looted. I have not heard of any deaths in connection to those fires.
“Today, Friday, is typically the day when demonstrations happen at the main squares. They have started in several areas of Cairo and there will be casualties as the Morsi supporters are armed and have killed many policemen in the last few days. Don’t worry.  I will be at home. . . .
“It makes me heart-sick to witness a small group of power seekers who have no regard for human life or for human freedom of choice or any love and regard for Egypt, try to disrupt a gentle, generous and fun-loving population.  Just keep praying for Egypt as it goes through this difficult time. . . .
“I’m writing to reassure you that despite what you are seeing on the news, ----- and the boys and I are all safe (in fact, to get a sense of things, even though very few people are working these two days. . . Nonetheless, we are taking precautions, staying alert, but I still expect to be able to get to church tomorrow without incident. One thing we do wish is that you could watch our local news, to get a somewhat different picture of things than Al-Jazeera, CNN, and even BBC are able to offer. In a nutshell, Egyptians want to see this period of Muslim Brotherhood antagonism and bullying come to an end—and their frustration is that Western media have been increasingly critical of Egypt since June 30.
“As I’m sure you’ve seen on the news, yesterday and today, Egypt is, once again, in the midst of turmoil and violence. In fact, what’s been happening over these past 48 hours is the worst violence that Egypt has seen in decades. As of this evening, 47 police officers have been killed, and probably 20 times that many armed members of the Brotherhood have also died.
“It began with the surprise-forceful evacuation of two large camps which were, in fact, concentrated zones for the proliferation of propaganda, rights violations, and a source of legalized terrorism. The Muslim Brotherhood organization staffing these sit-ins (which many Egyptians have come to refer to as a terroristic group who only posed as a political entity, but are more mafia-like in their use of violence for selfish gain) had made threats both before last year’s elections, and during their sit-ins, demanding they get their way. Most of the violence around Egypt is the fulfillment of these old threats.
“This so-called ‘legitimate-democratic’ political group have taken on the role of terrorists: 45 churches have been burned and attacked (many gutted first, and valuables stolen, with similar pillaging of their attached parsonages—the military promised today that they would rebuild the churches that have been targeted, and will provide financial support to the large number of Christian residents and businesses that have been destroyed by Brotherhood attacks. Similar attacks have been made against numerous police stations, businesses, homes, hospitals, schools, universities, military installations and government institutions, and finally, even prisons have been broken open to further the chaos.
“I speak with absolute certainty when I say that, for the vast majority of Egyptians, the military are finally doing what the people have been asking—this is not part of a military coup, but rather, a restoration of control to the majority of Egyptian people. Although the huge number of mortalities is both tragic and regrettable, they could have been avoided, had the MB entered into peaceful productive dialogue with the transitional government, as the military so often invited them to over the past 6 weeks.
“Enough about that—I’ll end with a prayer which I ask you to join me in praying, for and with Egyptian Christians…
”Father, we weep. We are afraid. Give us faith. Lead us through this valley of death’s shadow. Thank you for protecting us, for limiting deaths and injuries. But now, O Lord, have mercy on our communities—now—dozens of our churches and schools, our homes, and our businesses are in ruin! Why Lord? Give us strength and hope to carry on. May our cries for help, and our calls for understanding glorify you. Cause our enemies to be convicted. Open all of our eyes to the error of our ways, cut us to the heart, and help us all—whether we have sinned, or failed to act according to your will—help each one repent and seek peace. Bless our land O Lord Jesus. Bless our leaders. Bless our churches. Bless the poor and the brokenhearted. Bless the peacemakers, and help us to become leaders renowned for turning weapons into plowshares—so all will know we are your true children, that you are the True God, and all will honor you more, and seek you within their hearts. Amen.”
“Thank you for your continued faithful prayers and support. May your communities appreciate the freedoms, safety, and stability that are yours in abundance—they are gifts from God, not to be taken for granted.”
R&H, Aug. 5, 1902: "Those who place themselves under God's control, to be led and guided by Him, will CATCH THE STEADY TREND OF EVENTS ordained by Him to take place.” To see previous Red Alerts, go to Get a copy of the book Red Alert (PPPA) by calling: 1-800-400-1844.

Red Alert #300 Colorado River

posted Sep 5, 2013, 7:41 PM by Thaine Carter

Red Alert #300               Colorado River                    August 28, 2013
“There will be strange things happening to the sun, the moon, and the stars. On earth whole countries will be in despair, afraid of the roar of the sea and the raging tides. People will faint from fear as they wait for what is coming over the whole earth . . . Then the Son of Man will appear, coming in a cloud with great power and glory.” Luke 21:25-27, GNB

Perhaps you saw this recent headline: “Dwindling Colorado River Forces First-Ever Cuts in Lake Powell Water Releases”

At first, I drifted right over the headline. Rivers rise and fall, especially the Mississippi River in recent times that have cost many farmers and shippers lots of down time and lots of money as well.

However, more than a dozen years of drought have begun to extract a heavy toll from water supplies in certain western states. Forecasts predict dramatic cuts next year in releases between the two main reservoirs on the Colorado River, the primary source of water for tens of millions of people across seven western states. 
It's difficult to overstate how important the Colorado River is to the West. From Lake Powell along the Arizona-Utah border, the river flows more than 300 miles through the Grand Canyon to Lake Mead in Nevada, supplying drinking water to more than 36 million people in Arizona, California, Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada, Wyoming and Utah.
The river also supplies water to 22 native American tribes, 11 national parks, 7 national wildlife refuges, and 4 million acres of farmland,
After studying the problems facing the river for the past two years, the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation – the agency charged with managing water in the West – announced August 16 that it would cut the amount of water released next year by Lake Powell in Arizona by 750,000 acre-feet, enough to supply about 1.5 million homes.
It marks the first reduction in water flows since the mid 1960s, when the lake was created by the construction of Glen Canyon Dam. "This is the worst 14-year drought period in the last hundred years," said Larry Wolkoviak, director of the bureau's Upper Colorado Region.
Chief cause:  The potential water shortages both lakes face is the result of what has happened to the Colorado River over the past decade. Long-running drought across the Southwest has starved the river to its current low flows, and climate change is expected to reduce them by 5 to 20 percent over the next 40 years, University of Colorado geoscientist Brad Udall told Smithsonian Magazine.
Its impacts will be felt at each stage of the river's development: less snowfall in the Rocky Mountains will mean less water enters the river at its start, while hotter air temperatures and drier weather will mean longer droughts and more water lost to evaporation.
Drought, combined with overuse – some 70 percent of the river's capacity is siphoned away to water more than 3 million acres of farmland – already have produced some of the Colorado's lowest flows in more than 1,000 years, Udall told National Geographic. "Something very, very unusual is going on," he added, noting that today's low water levels should be a "kick in the pants" to spur both short-term and long-term water planning for the region.
"The river is already severely endangered due to way too many dams and diversions," Gary Wockner of told National Geographic, noting the impact the reduced flows also would have on fish and wildlife throughout the Grand Canyon. "The impact on the health of the Colorado River is unsustainable."
At Lake Mead, water levels will lower by 8 feet as a result of the reduction, after the lake already has dropped by about 100 feet since the current drought began in 2000. That would bring water levels there – now about 1,105 feet – within striking range of 1,075 feet, considered the threshold for the U.S. Department of the Interior to declare a water shortage.
Today, Lake Powell is only about 45 percent of its full capacity while Lake Mead stands at 47 percent full, according to Chuck Collum of the Central Arizona Project (CAP), which delivers water from the Colorado River to central and southern Arizona.
For Las Vegas, which draws most of its water from Lake Mead and grew by more than 6,000 people a month in the 2000s, the extremely dry conditions of the past decade already have prompted a raft of water restrictions and conservation measures -- including banning grass front lawns in new home developments.
But the city isn't counting on conservation alone. If the conditions of the past several years continue indefinitely, by 2015 water levels at Lake Mead could drop below one of Las Vegas's two intakes there, imperiling the city's water supply. Today, its water authority is scrambling to build a third intake to allow it to draw water at levels below 1,000 feet -- an insurance policy if the lake's levels drop low enough to put its first intake out of service.‎
Of course, good, old western winters with plenty of snow would be a big help. Perhaps a hurricane or two! And the eastern states bordering the Atlantic Ocean would gladly trade some of their surplus rain and floods of the past year.
But an interesting description in a remarkably insightful book has got me thinking: “Satan works through the elements also to garner his harvest of unprepared souls. He has studied the secrets of the laboratories of nature, and he uses all his power to control the elements as far as God allows. . . . While appearing to the children of men as a great physician who can heal all their maladies, he will bring disease and disaster, until populous cities are reduced to ruin and desolation. Even now he is at work. In accidents and calamities by sea and by land, in great conflagrations, in fierce tornadoes and terrific hailstorms, in tempests, floods, cyclones, tidal waves, and earthquakes, in every place and in a thousand forms, Satan is exercising his power. He sweeps away the ripening harvest, and famine and distress follow. . . . These visitations are to become more and more frequent and disastrous.” The Great Controversy, 589. 590.
R&H, Aug. 5, 1902: "Those who place themselves under God's control, to be led and guided by Him, will CATCH THE STEADY TREND OF EVENTS ordained by Him to take place.” To see previous Red Alerts, go to Get a copy of the book Red Alert (PPPA) by calling: 1-800-400-1844.

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